Business Forecasting Assignment Operations Essay

Business forecasting is the process of studying historical performance for the purpose of using the knowledge gained to project future business conditions so that decisions can be made today that will aid in the achievement of established goals. Forecasting plays a crucial role in today’s uncertain global marketplace. Forecasting is traditionally either qualitative or quantitative, with each offering specific advantages and disadvantages. Qualitative and Quantitative Forecasting TechniquesForecasting can be classified into qualitative and quantitative. Qualitative techniques are subjective or judgmental and are based on estimates and opinions. The Delphi technique, a common form of qualitative forecasting, allows experts to create an effective forecast under conditions of extreme uncertainty. Time’s series forecasting, a quantitative technique, uses a statistical analysis of past sales in order to effectively predict future outcomes, but can be limited under conditions of uncertainty (Chase, 2003, p.364). Business forecasting can be used in a wide variety of contexts, and by a wide variety of businesses. For example, effective forecasting can determine sales based on attendance at a trade show, or the customer demand for products and services (Business and Economic Forecasting, p.1). One of the most important assumptions of business forecasters is that the past acts as an important guide for the future. It is important to note that forecasters must consider a number of new information, including rapidly changing economic conditions and globalization, when creating business forecasts based on past sales. Globalization and economic slowdown has made businesses subject to a great deal of uncertainty. In this time of rapid change, economies worldwide change rapidly, new markets open up and old ones change, and demand for products is often uncertain. As such, businesses must be flexible and adaptable in the types of methods that they use to forecast future sales (Chase, 2003, p.472). In an ever-changing global marketplace, organizations are constantly coming up against unusual and novel situations. It is in these situations that modern methods of business forecasting can be especially useful. Modern  forecasting methods are usually grouped into two main categories: qualitative methods, and quantitative methods. Qualitative analysis includes the intuitive and knowledge-based approach as discussed earlier. The decision maker reviews all of the information available, and then makes an estimated forecast. Quantitative techniques are used mostly when qualitative information is not available. In contrast, qualitative techniques are based on an analysis of data (Namvar, 2000, p.8). Delphi Forecasting MethodQualitative forecasting techniques are: executive committee, the Delphi method, and surveys of the sales force, surveys of customers, historical analogy, and market research. The objective of most Delphi applications is the reliable and creative exploration of ideas or the production of suitable information for decision-making. The Delphi Method is based on a structured process for collecting and distilling knowledge from a group of experts by means of a series of questionnaires interspersed with controlled opinion feedback (Chase, 2003, P471). The Delphi method is a variation of the executive committee approach. But the interaction is indirect, iterative and structured. The basic premise of Delphi method is to identify a group of experts and each of them are given a set of questions or issues, and asked to respond. After a given amount of time, the responses are sent to a coordinator or monitoring group that does not participate in the earlier stages of the Delphi processes. This group then feeds back the responses to other members of the group, while never giving away the identity of the response. The experts are then asked to respond again, after reviewing the responses of other respondents. This process may continue until a consensus is reached among the group. The group may be united to form a final consensus (Namvar, 2000, p.8). Time Series Forecasting MethodTime series techniques are the most popular quantitative method. These techniques use statistical methods for projecting from historical data. Quantitative techniques are preferred when appropriate data are available. The main assumption is that the historical pattern will continue into the future. The two main types of time series forecasting are average smoothing and exponential smoothing. The moving average is simply a  series of arithmetic averages. Predicting sales for next year is simple. The actual sales for a certain number of years is added, and then divided by the number of years used to get the moving average. A weighted moving average is obtained by assigning a specific weight to previous years. The sum of all weights must equal one. Recent years are given a higher weight (Namvar, 2000, p.13). Exponential smoothing is simply a subtype of the weighted moving average. A new forecast is a weighted sum of actual variables (usually sales) in the current year and the weighted forecast of the variable for that period. It has the advantage of being relatively easy to compute. In contrast the moving average method is quick, cheap, and easy to use, but does not easily take into account variations based on seasonal effects and cycles (Namvar, 2000, p.14). Both the Delphi technique and Time series forecasting are valuable forecasting tools in the right circumstance. The Delphi technique is useful for short-term forecasts. This ability is contingent upon the familiarity of experts with specific issues (Namvar, 2000, p.8). One of the major problems with the Delphi technique, as with all other qualitative techniques, is identifying good employees to form expert opinions and judgments, and then getting these experts to agree on a forecast (Namvar, 2000, p.9). Given the limitations of qualitative techniques, quantitative forecasting is usually preferred where there is enough past data (Namvar, 2000, p.12). In conditions of uncertainty, the Delphi technique offers a great deal flexibility. Using the Delphi technique, experts in a field can often come to a creative and insightful consensus. In contrast, time series forecasting may be less useful under conditions of extreme uncertainty because of its qualitative nature. When new conditions arise, it may be difficult to predict future sales based on past sales when conditions were more certain. Therefore, the Delphi technique is often a more valuable tool for business forecasting during conditions of uncertainty. Firstlogic Inc., The Company manufactures information quality and postal automation software that helps companies ensure the data they are storing and adding to their corporate databases is clean, accurate and reliable. More than 6,000 customers around the world use Firstlogic products. (www.firstlogic.com). The recent global economic slowdown and increased uncertainty in many facets of business, have caused organizations to rethink their priorities and strategies. Like any other companies, My company was forced to look well ahead in order to plan their investments, launch new products and services, devise new ways to develop and leverage human capital and so on. All key decisions related to these activities are derived from a sales forecast, which is the most critical and difficult area of the management. Forecasting can allow businesses to predict sales, and thus determine a wide variety of business expenses. Firstlogic heavily relies on quantitative methods for business forecasting based on several factors like degree of accuracy, investment decisions, time horizon to forecast, capital investment decision, product changes, style, quality, price changes, labor problems, available data and information and position of products in its life cycle to forecast the future sales. Firstlogic use information on past sales and times to help determine demand for products and services, effectively forecasting the specific products/services that would release to market at a given point in time. Despite the effectiveness of quantitative forecasting tools, the company has had less success with these methods in short term forecasts. Given the high degree of uncertainty in today’s marketplace, qualitative forecasting techniques like the Delphi technique may help Firstlogic to better-forecast future sales. Conclusion In conclusion, business forecasting methods must be used in order to fit current conditions of uncertainty. Delphi technique and time series forecasting both are valuable forecasting tools when used in the right circumstance. The Delphi technique is useful for short-term forecasts; therefore, it is often a more valuable tool for business forecasting during conditions of uncertainty. References Business and Economic Forecasting. Retrieved November 4, 2005, fromhttp://www.sbeusers.csuhayward.edu/~acassuto/econ3551/summary/chapter6.ht

Sustainability Report on Recyclable Waste

Sustainability Report 1. Introduction This study base on human and environment, focal point on the trash and recycling in Auckland, speaking about the rubbish job formation, current state of affairs, job with apprehension and analysis severally, and above this, some thoughts and suggestions put frontward to sustainability operation. Through the analysis on current state of affairs and countermeasures of trash, in order to alarm people pay great attending to the scientific trash recycling. 2. Background With the rapid development of societal economic system in Auckland, great alterations have taken topographic point in society and the life of occupants, big sum of industrial and commercial merchandises rush into Auckland ingestion market, enter 1000s of families, during populating criterion has been improved at the same clip, waste besides increased twenty-four hours by twenty-four hours, â€Å"Only in 2013 waste on norm about 800kg per individual of industrial, commercial and households waste is sent to landfill that is a sum of about 1.2 million dozenss per twelvemonth. Two tierces of this can be recycled or composted† —Auckland City council. ( 2013 ) Get your trash Sorted 2013 More than natural environmental self-purification ability, waste accretion and bit by bit evolved into a immense job into populating life, impact and harm occupants wellness. On the other manus the depletion of the Earth ‘s resources and natural resources run out, there will necessarily come a twenty-four hours when population outstrips available resources, hence sustainability go more and more of import for our beautiful metropolis. 3. Reclaimable waste Reclaimable waste including paper, metal, plastic, glass, through the recycling, it cut down the pollution, saves the resources. â€Å"For every ton of paper recycled can be made of paper for 850 kgs, salvaging 300 kgs forests, 74 % less pollution ; Recycling 1 dozenss of fictile bottle can acquire 0.7 dozenss stuffs, preserves about 7,200 kWh of electricity ; Each 1 dozenss of Fe and steel can be refined as steel 0.9 dozenss, compared with the original cost nest eggs of 47 % , Reduces air pollution by 75 % , cut down H2O pollution and solid waste 97 % .† —Cactuslab.Zerowaste New Zealand. ( 2014 ) 4. Situation in commercial rubbish recycle Now with rapid development of economic system in Auckland, commercial waste become a of import portion of rubbish recycling, it has particular facts of big sum volume and high recycle frequence and more focussed reclaimable resource. Merely one normal nutrient town in Auckland can direct 300 kilogram waste composition board stopping point to 1 ton of general waste to rubbish cod topographic point every twenty-four hours. However some unsustainable pattern go on in most of commercial rubbish recycle. In Auckland commercial topographic point like nutrient town, fast nutrient shop, warehouse and supermarket they merely collect waste composition board as reclaimable resource and immense figure of other reclaimable resource like paper cups, plastic bottles, glass bottles and Cola tins etc. are treat as general trash, they are compacted with kitchen waste and other waste all together sent to landfill, two tierces of this are reclaimable resource, which is a immense waste. 5. Cause of this pattern The ground of this unsustainable pattern happen is community affect. how community non supplying a right thought of commercial trash recycling, the ground may as below. 5.1. Cardboard is the major reclaimable waste in commercial topographic point. 5.2. Cardboard is easy to roll up and easy to recycle. 5.3. Other reclaimable waste is non every bit much as composition board and difficult to screen. 5.4. Peoples lack of sustainability consciousness. 5.5. Lack of ordinance and attending from metropolis council. 5.6. Community merely provide unlifelike recycle bin, no other bins for other reclaimable resource. Auckland metropolis council concentrating on composition board recycling alternatively of all reclaimable resource affects community pay less attending in commercial trash recycling, this error affects dozenss of reclaimable resource wasted every twenty-four hours. If Auckland metropolis council could beef up direction in this country, the community will be wholly different on recycling reclaimable resource.What authorities is making better on families rubbish recyclingThere is large difference between families and commercial trash recycle Government is making better in family than commercial rubbish recycle, metropolis council provide bluish bin for reclaimable waste and ruddy bin for general waste and roll up them every hebdomad and completed ordinance system on family rubbish recycle and they will non function you or capital punish if person is making incorrect on rubbish recycling. so people has higher sustainability consciousness, every individual individual is mobilized on sust ainability, nevertheless in commercial rubbish recycle, people don’t truly care about it, they may believe it is merely a occupation no demand attention about it or they are excessively busy on working no clip to care about it or it merely says â€Å"put composition board in the bin† why should I blow my clip. These are perfectly incorrect thought, because of these incorrect ideas make godforsaken addition twenty-four hours by twenty-four hours and dozenss of reclaimable resource wasted. 7. The development to do it more sustainable. 7.1. Laws and ordinances system Complete the Torahs and ordinances on the direction of commercial rubbish recycle system. From basic to state people that it may offence the jurisprudence by wrong rubbish dumped or recycle. 7.2. Economic penalty A sensible economic penalty strength addition will alarm people and besides increase the capital investing on rubbish recycle. 7.3. Waste recycling discriminatory policy To promote Auckland occupants, people get reward to take part in rubbish recycling, rubbish aggregation and disposal work. Realization the mobilisation of every individual individual in Auckland. 7.4. Establish a right rubbish recycle construct sufficiently accurate of promotion helps people understand no affair who you are, where you are, what you do, the right rubbish recycle thought should be along with you. 7.5. Waste minimization Get downing from the beginning of waste, avoid waste coevals, cut down the waste. The Waste Minimisation Act 2008 advocator a decreased waste generate and disposal in New Zealand and aims to cut down injury of waste to the environment. 7.6. the classified aggregation and recycling Detail rubbish categorization, detail the rubbish sorting bins, to roll up more utile reclaimable resource. â€Å"In Japan, every town has its ain series of hipster refuse bags for specific classs of rubbish. My town has four ; others have more: Kamikatsu, in Shikoku, has 44.† —by Eryk Salvaggio. ( 2013 ) This Nipponese Life 8. Decision Earth resource is drying up, waste sum is increasing, non merely affects the economical development of Auckland, but besides the whole universe. Reduce and command the waste on the environment pollution is a manner of sustainability that Auckland metropolis must travel. We must better the supervising and direction system, develop more advanced rubbish disposal engineering, walk on the route of sustainability, combine environmental protection and economical development in the coordination, with the government’s supervising and strong support and a positive response from Auckland occupants, environment quality can be improved. The relationship between homo and the environment is so close, environment pollution can non be ignored, the rubbish recycling should non be underestimated, waste is a misplaced resource, turn it into hoarded wealth, for our zero waste sustainable universe. 9. Mentions: Auckland City Council. ( 2013 ) Get your trash Sorted 2013. Retrieved from hypertext transfer protocol: //www.aucklandcouncil.govt.nz/EN/environmentwaste/rubbishrecycling/Documents/rubbishrecyclingguide2013.pdf Cactuslab. ( 2014 ) Zerowaste New Zealand. ( 2014 ) .Retrieved from hypertext transfer protocol: //www.zerowaste.co.nz/what-is-waste/facts-figures/ Mfe. ( 2013 ) The New Zealand Waste Strategy. ( 2013 ) .Retrieved from hypertext transfer protocol: //www.mfe.govt.nz/publications/waste/waste-strategy/wastestrategy.pdf NZ.GOVT ( 2008 ) Waste Minimisation Act 2008.Retrieved from hypertext transfer protocol: //www.legislation.govt.nz/act/public/2008/0089/latest/DLM999802.html Eryk Salvaggio. ( 2013 ) This Nipponese Life.Retrieved from hypertext transfer protocol: //thisjapaneselife.org/2010/08/27/on-sorting-garbage-in-japan- % E5 % B1 % 91 % E9 % 81 % B8 % E5 % 88 % A5/

The Emerging Concept of Disposition in Education

In the article written by Renee L. Taylor and M. Mark Wasicsko entitled â€Å"The Disposition to Teach†, it is state that there is an emerging concern for the role that disposition plays in being an effective teacher (2000). By effective, the authors mean a dynamic and well-rounded human being that can bring changes to the lives of people through education and learning and is also a master of the methods in teaching (Taylor and Wasicsko, 2000).On the other hand, the term disposition is that which means to be the â€Å"personal qualities or characteristics that are possessed by individuals, including attitudes, beliefs, interests, appreciation, values, and mode of adjustment† (Taylor and Wasicsko, 2000). It can be concluded that disposition has a relationship with level of effectiveness in teaching. Moreover, Taylor and Wasicsko enumerated different dispositions that are related to effectiveness in teaching (2000). The authors made a review of the past literature regardi ng dispositions and compiled these qualities in the text.They are concerned with relationships with peers, students, views on teaching, views on students, views on self, interpersonal relations, and intrapersonal relations (Taylor and Wasicsko, 2000). However, an effective tool for measurement is yet to be determined that will add to those being used as of the moment such as student teacher journals for preservice teachers, Perceptual Rating Scales, written human relations incidents, and interviews (Taylor and Wasicsko, 2000).Moreover, there is an on-going call for the dispositions related to effective education to be introduced in educational learning institutions, one of which is in the University of Northern Iowa and other Iowa colleges are starting to follow (Taylor and Wasicsko, 2000). Inevitably, the role of disposition as related to effective teaching will have an impact in initial certification programs. Valid and reliable criteria and predictors of disposition that are rela ted to effective teaching will have to be formulated, examined, and reformulated to ensure that these dispositions will lead to effective behaviors in teaching.With this, initial certification programs will have to put more emphasis on disposition of incoming teachers, still along with intellect and skills. It can be observed that even the most intelligent teacher may turn out to be the worst without the desired aspects of disposition and skills. The right mix of intelligence, skills, and disposition has to be identified and this will have to be incorporated in the initial certification programs for teachers. Moreover, human beings are created uniquely and each one will carry a different set of attitudes and beliefs.These attitudes and beliefs that a person possesses govern the actions that he/she might elicit towards the environment. Thus, no one persons can be considered perfect and will be able to possess all of the desired traits, attitudes, and beliefs as listed in the studies conducted regarding disposition. It is however, to be noted, that a lot of people will possess at least a portion of these traits, attitudes, and beliefs to become an effective teacher. The keyword to be remembered is the ability to adopt changes and the quality of being flexible.The ability to change one’s disposition to become an effective teacher should start at an early stage. As the article of Taylor and Wasicsko shows, it is already being introduced to education students in the University of Norther Iowa and other colleges in Iowa (2000). The research on dispositions has to be refined to be able to use this in theory and in practice. For preservice teachers, it is necessary for them to adopt desired traits, attitudes, and beliefs early in their careers in addition to their inherent disposition to become effective teachers.This is a good foundation for their career path as educators because it is important to be able to start with the necessary qualities. For the practic ing educator, there is the need to constantly hone personal disposition to meet the changing and growing trends in educating the society. The study of disposition is a growing part of the field of education. More research has to be done and persistent inculcation of the new-found theories is to be applied into practice to contribute to effective teaching.

Henry Howard Holmes, One of Americas first Serial Killers

I researched who is to be believed as the one of america’s First Serial Killers, Herman Webster Mudgett aka Dr. Henry Howard Holmes. He had confessed to 27 murders, but only 9 could actually be proven. He had several victims during his time and choose what he felt was the perfect place for these murders. Herman was born on May 16th, 1861 in Gilmanton, New Hampshire to Levi Horton Mudgett and Theodate Page Price, both of whom were descended from the first settlers in the area. His father was a very violent alcoholic and his mother was a Methodist who would often read the bible to her son. Holmes had a privileged childhood. It has been said that he appeared to be unusually intelligent at an early age. Still there were haunting signs of what was to come. He expressed an interest in medicine, which reportedly led him to practice surgery on animals. Some accounts indicate that he may have been responsible for the death of a friend. As a child Herman was scared of the local doctor and when this got out bullies at his school forced him to view and touch a human skeleton. It turns out that this fascinated Herman so much that he actually scared the bullies who forced him into very badly. During much of his life he was considered a loner and very shady. Herman would later graduate from the University of Michigan Medical School in 1884, but while he was enrolled there he began to explore a new area or hobby. He would steal bodies from the lab disfigured the bodies, and claimed that the people were killed accidentally in order to collect insurance money from policies he took out on each deceased person he had stolen. After Graduation he began to dabble in more shady work such as pharmaceuticals, real estate and promotional deals under his created alias H.  H. Holmes. On July 4th 1878, Holmes married Clara Lovering in Alton, New Hampshire; their son, Robert Lovering Mudgett, was born on February 3rd 1880 in Loudon, New Hampshire (in adult life Robert was to become a Certified Public Accountant, and served as City Manager of Orlando, Florida). On January 28th 1887, while he was still married to Clara, Holmes married Myrta Belknap in Minneapolis, Minnesota; their daughter, Lucy Theodate Holmes, was born on July 4th 1889 in Englewood, Illinois. (in adult life Lucy was to become a public schoolteacher). Holmes lived with Myrta and Lucy in Wilmette, Illinois, and spent most of his time in Chicago tending to business. He filed for divorce from Clara after marrying Myrta, but the divorce was never finalized. He married Georgiana Yoke on January 9th 1894 in Denver, Colorado while still married to Clara and Myrta. He also had a relationship with Julia Smythe, the wife of one of his former employees; Julia later became one of Holmes's victims. While in Chicago, Holmes had started to grow even more shady and criminal. Holmes took a job in a drugstore which he would buy and promise to let the current store owner live even after her husband died. When her husband died however she simply disappeared and as people began to question where she was Holmes lied and told them she went to California and liked it there so much that she decided she would stay there. These people would actually turn out to be his first victims in his long murder spree and it is unknown how and when he murdered them. Holmes purchased a lot across from the drugstore and built what would be later known as his Murder Castle (which is where it is believed that he hid the bodies of Dr.  E. S. Holton and his wife). Holmes would open it up as a hotel for the World's Columbian Exposition in 1893, with part of the structure used as commercial space. The ground floor of the Castle contained Holmes's own relocated drugstore and various shops, while the upper two floors contained his personal office and a maze of over one hundred windowless rooms with doorways opening to brick walls, oddly angled hallways, stairways to nowhere, doors opened only from the outside, and a host of other strange and labyrinthine constructions. Holmes repeatedly changed builders during the construction of the Castle, so only he fully understood the design of the house, thus decreasing the chance of being reported to the police. Holmes selected mostly female victims from among his employees (many of which were required as a condition of employment to take out life insurance policies for which Holmes would pay the premiums but also be the beneficiary), as well as his lovers and hotel guests. He tortured and killed them in some of the worst possible ways you could imagine. Some were locked in soundproof bedrooms fitted with gas lines that let him asphyxiate them at any time and some were locked in a huge soundproof bank vault near his office where they were left to suffocate. He would then take the victims' bodies and drop by secret chute to the basement where some were meticulously dissected, stripped of flesh, crafted into skeleton models, and then sold to medical schools. Holmes also cremated some of the bodies or placed them in lime pits for destruction. Holmes had two giant furnaces as well as pits of acid, bottles of various poisons, and even a stretching rack which he would use to help dispose of the bodies and any evidence. Through the connections he had gained in medical school, he sold skeletons and organs with little difficulty and therefore was able to get rid of even more evidence. He had some of the best methods for disposing of all of his victims and the evidence that anything had ever even happened which is why it is so difficult to determine just how many victims he actually had and who they were. There were also trapdoors and chutes so that he could move the bodies down to the basement where he could burn his victims’ remains in a kiln there or dispose of them in other ways. All the while, Holmes continued to work insurance scams and it was one of these scams that led to his undoing. He joined forces with Benjamin Pitezel to collect $10,000 from a life insurance company. Holmes would leave Chicago due to the economy and move down to Fort Worth, Texas, to a property that he inherited from two sisters he promised to marry and later murdered. He had planned to build another castle, but would abandon that idea and move about the US as well as Canada and he was believed to have killed several more victims on his travels, but no evidence of this could be found. Holmes's murder spree finally ended when he was arrested in Boston on November 17, 1894, after being tracked there from Philadelphia by the Pinkertons(a national detective agency). He was held on an outstanding warrant for horse theft in Texas, as the police had little more than suspicions at this point and Holmes appeared ready to leave the country, with his unsuspecting third wife. After the custodian for the Castle informed police that he was never allowed to clean the upper floors, police began a thorough investigation over the course of the next month, uncovering Holmes's efficient methods of committing murders and then disposing of the corpses. While Holmes sat in prison in Philadelphia, not only did the Chicago police investigate his operations in that city, but the Philadelphia police began to try to unravel the Pitezel situation, the fate of the three missing children. Philadelphia detective Frank Geyer was given the task of finding out and his quest for the children, like the search of Holmes's Castle, received wide publicity. He would eventually discover their remains essentially sealed Holmes's fate, at least in the public mind. Holmes was put on trial for the murder of Pitezel and confessed, following his conviction, to 27 murders in Chicago, Indianapolis and Toronto, and six attempted murders. Holmes was paid $7,500 ($197,340 in today's dollars) by the Hearst Newspapers in exchange for this confession. He gave various contradictory accounts of his life, claiming initially innocence and later that he was possessed by Satan. His faculty for lying has made it difficult for researchers to ascertain any truth on the basis of his statements. On May 7, 1896, H. H. Holmes went to the hangman's noose. His last meal was boiled eggs, dry toast, and coffee. Even at the noose, he changed his story. He claimed to have killed only two people, and tried to say more but at 10:13 the trapdoor opened and he was hanged, it took him fully 15 minutes to strangle to death on the gallows. Afraid of body-snatchers who might capitalize on his corpse, Holmes had made a request: He wanted no autopsy and he instructed his attorneys to see that he was buried in a coffin filled with cement. This was taken to Holy Cross Cemetery south of Philadelphia and two Pinkerton guards stood over the grave during the night before the body was finally interred in a double grave also filled with cement. No stone was erected to mark it, Larson states, although its presence is recorded on a cemetery registry. Holmes attorneys had turned down an offer of $5,000 for his body, and even refused his brain to Philadelphias Wistar Institute, which hoped to have its experts analyze the organ for better understanding of the criminal mind. Larson recounts a series of strange events afterward that gave credence to the rumors that Holmes was satanic, including several weird deaths and a fire at the D. A. s office that destroyed everything there save a photograph of Holmes. During this case, another American phenomenon arose from society's fascination with sensational crime. Thousands of people lined up to see the Chicago murder site, so a former police officer remodeled the infamous building as â€Å"Holmes's Horror Castle,† an attraction that offered guided tours to the suffocation chambers and torture rooms. But before it opened it mysteriously burned to the ground. So many people who'd rented rooms from Holmes during the fair had actually gone missing that sensational estimates of his victims reached around 200, and some people perpetuated this unsubstantiated toll even today. Its likely that Holmes own figure from his recanted confession is low, but there is no way to know just how many he actually killed. In the end he was so worried that someone would want to do to him what he had done to so many others that he felt the only way he could rest in peace was to be encased in concrete. He was one of the first ever serial killers and one of the worst. It was horrible what he did and all of the lives lost because of this man. In my opinion his request for a protected grave was one of the things that show you how crazy this man really was and how smart he was all at the same time. In my opinion the starting point in H. H. Holmes spiral to murder would be that as a child, schoolmates forced him to view and touch a human skeleton after discovering his fear of the local doctor. The bullies initially brought him there to scare him, but instead he was utterly fascinated, and he soon became obsessed with death. He started by stealing bodies from the morgue, would disfigure them and then claim they were accidentally killed so he could collect on an insurance policy he would take out on each person. Some of his fellow students became scared of him while trying to bully him, he was a bigamist, some felt he was charming, he was manipulative, and many of those around him viewed him as suspicious and shady. H. H. Holmes seemed to have the perfect idea on how to get rich and how to get away with murder and in fact he did for a long time. He was a very smart man and that is the reason that I believe he was able to go so long without getting caught. On New Year's Eve, 1910, Marion Hedgepeth, who had been pardoned for informing on Holmes, was shot and killed by a police officer during a holdup at a Chicago saloon. Then, on March 7, 1914, the Chicago Tribune reported that, with the death of the former caretaker of the Murder Castle, Pat Quinlan, â€Å"the mysteries of Holmes' Castle† would remain unexplained. Quinlan had committed suicide by taking strychnine. Quinlan's surviving relatives claimed Quinlan had been â€Å"haunted† for several months before his death and could not sleep.

Exam paper Essay Example | Topics and Well Written Essays - 2250 words

Exam paper - Essay Example The university also encourages for there to be effective communication with the community around to make sure that the policy goals are implemented. It is also very clear that the university is set to achieve the ISO14001 accreditation. The university plans to get to achieve this by working on its environmental management systems, which includes the Carbon Management Programme. To achieve this, the university is determined to work on its environmental performance. Biodiversity - The University plans to protect and enhance the biological and environmental quality of all campuses as well as pursue the Easter Craiglockhart Hill Local Nature Reserve Management Plan as a land manager. Energy – The University plans to develop and operate responsible energy management practices through the reduction of the consumption of fossil fuels whilst making use of renewable fuel technologies. Procurement – The University plans to maintain, operate and develop the entire University estate in a sustainable manner. It will also advocate for the purchase of ethical and environmentally-considerate products and services which will help minimize the use of damaging substances and processes. Transport – In transport, the University’s policy states that it plans to promote alternatives to single car occupancy and unnecessary domestic and international air travel. This will be achieved by the implementation of an environmentally-considerate Travel Plan covering all staff, students and visitors to the University. Wastes and emissions – The University policy states that it will ensure that there are sufficient facilities to allow students, staff and visitors to reduce, reuse and recycle waste with the aim of minimizing the amount of waste ultimately sent to landfill. On water - With the plan to maintain the water conservation programme the university will achieve reduction in water wastage. According to the policy statement, the University plans to

Fashion writing - Oscar Fingal O'Flahertie Essay

Fashion writing - Oscar Fingal O'Flahertie - Essay Example The essay "Fashion writing - Oscar Fingal O'Flahertie" examines fashion writing of the Oscar Fingal O'Flahertie. The position thus presented him with an effective opportunity to influence the history of design and fashion through literatures, which had become the fastest growing medium. As an editor, Wilde understood his practice as a writer and therefore understood every word used analytically. Through this view, his first major activity at the news outlet was to vouch for the change of the name of the magazine. The magazine was prior to his employment called The Lady’s world, however with Wilde’s entry into the company, he argued that the word â€Å"lady† restricted the audience to a particular segment of the female audience. By changing the name from The Lady’s world to The woman’s world, Wilde arguably widened the audience f the magazine by targeting limitless female members of the society. For the two years that Wilde served as the editor of th e magazine, his contribution to the history of fashion and design was immense as he reached and influenced thousands of the magazine’s female readers. Wilde’s influence to fashion and design was through literature. He used his magazine to bring together top designers and their target audience thus proving the society with a seamless flow and changes in fashion. Prior to his assumption of office as the editor of the highly celebrated magazine, the term fashion befitted a specific caliber of women in the society. the society had few designers. who equally targeted the high society. fashion, design and trendy attires thus belonged to the society’s wealthy. Additionally, the absence of an effective means of communication complicated the development of fashion since both the designers and their markets lacked a medium of interaction through which they could share ideas thus shape the future of the profession. This made it difficult for fashion and design to spread to other societies. The rich had personal designers. Additionally, they maintained their interactions to the echelons of the society. This way, the rich domesticated fashion and design the expense of the middle class who as Wilde proved consisted of the majority and was therefore capable of changing the industry (Hollander, 1993). Wilde interacted with top designers and shared ideas with them. Even though he lacked fashion and design technical knowhow, he revolutionized the industry by providing the link between the designers and their markets through the media. Additionally, the lack of an effective media limited the interaction among designers. It was therefore difficult for the designers to consult and compare their designs among themselves. Through the magazine, Wilde interviewed and published hundreds of works by various designers. Through the magazine and the heightened interaction among the different tenets in the society, fashion and design became an interactive profession wit h more upcoming designers having a platform to socialize and share ideas with the established designers. The magazine demystified some of the misconceptions about the practice and the selective approach that most designers had adopted. The magazine widened the readership to the middle class female members of the society and in so doing drew the attention of the previously marginalized community as designers began targeting the class. Besides his role as the editor of the magazine, Wilde was also a playwright and managed a theatre. These provided the editor with an effective opportunity to infuse the two and use theatre to expand the

Safety management assignment Example | Topics and Well Written Essays - 1250 words

Safety management - Assignment Example In this case, ladder inspection checklist must be done; ladder is the safety tool used. Things that must be checked and counter checked include: the surface, level, structure, ground, working area, scaffolding, edges, hand grip, movement of equipment, manual handling, lighting, weather condition, footwear, and experience of the individual. The chance of likelihood of a falling and injury occurring must be considered. This method aids in determining which hazards must be dealt with first in the case of an injury. This is done by looking at the task ahead, the number of individuals, and the machinery to be used. Control measures must be implemented so as to increase safety and eliminate injury probability. The most effective method of controlling risk is by elimination, design substitution, redesign, and administration. The control measures must be carefully evaluated so as to avoid any potential harm (Roughton, James, and Crutchfield, 298). In every workplace, communication is an essential factor. Another essential factor is the credibility of staff as well as following of the OSHA and workplace guidelines. Safety functions management is essential in promoting the health and well being of individuals who work in risky environments. Under the first function of management, which is planning; a good manager must make valid plans. This means that the needs of the hazard workers must be considered, as well as the mission of the organization. Financial as well as the well being of the workers must be considered. This ensures that the needs of the department are met; funds are available, and time set aside to implement a specific plan all for the upholding of the organization goals. Under planning, safety rules and measures must be written down so as to enable better and safe working environment. Better management of safety comprises of organization function. The company must have a hierarchy of organization, where the CEO is active,